Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.858250 1.002299 1.162829 1.354968 1.578708 1.831064 2.137392
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.615042 0.802247 1.034563 1.344005 1.745525 2.249227 2.929830
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.485253 0.684947 0.952522 1.337183 1.876324 2.605866 3.669799
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.405675 0.610576 0.902782 1.349718 2.016617 2.976191 4.464976
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.332628 0.529236 0.825149 1.302695 2.054911 3.196222 5.064306
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.307261 0.513675 0.839615 1.391348 2.303300 3.753808 6.243679
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.261311 0.457121 0.780210 1.351569 2.338534 3.977596 6.916345
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.222987 0.406820 0.722748 1.304549 2.351426 4.160828 7.538394
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.192523 0.365329 0.673834 1.263914 2.367007 4.346087 8.182210
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.175964 0.346482 0.661991 1.287357 2.499095 4.750648 9.272058
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.169302 0.345221 0.681920 1.372138 2.755615 5.412782 10.929984
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.158185 0.333512 0.680097 1.413818 2.932866 5.944099 12.399159
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.144076 0.314223 0.661755 1.421854 3.047923 6.376063 13.744585
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.129688 0.292360 0.635420 1.410022 3.121009 6.734048 14.989613
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.117546 0.273563 0.612870 1.402847 3.202357 7.118182 16.341100
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.108463 0.260290 0.600408 1.415994 3.329714 7.616141 18.010863
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.095941 0.237209 0.562917 1.366672 3.307712 7.779056 18.933901
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.094268 0.239817 0.584760 1.459660 3.631474 8.770413 21.942776
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.084365 0.220728 0.552763 1.417936 3.624466 8.984887 23.095425
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.075184 0.202152 0.519561 1.368616 3.591779 9.132782 24.101176
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.067396 0.186096 0.490540 1.325994 3.570294 9.305189 25.192544
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.063673 0.180400 0.487303 1.350584 3.727808 9.950589 27.614604
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.063098 0.183286 0.506967 1.439510 4.069802 11.117583 31.600762